Reply To: Communicating Confidence

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We particpated to the training in Wageningen and went through the tutorial ,then, after discussion with one Client ( case study on River water balance) we found out that the most effective way to let the Client accept and understand the uncertainty in the results was:
– first reduce the number of possible combinations of Climate change projections of used variables by identifyng the most suitable idrological model among the 3 available one for the area of interest (comparison of hydrological modelled discharges Vs. recorded values for actual period)
– present final results using probabilities (i.e. probaility that the choosen output indicator in Climate change conditions falls in a range of values or in another)